IPCC Qualifier


very low confidence

Each finding is grounded in an evaluation of underlying evidence and agreement. The IPCC calibrated language uses five qualifiers to express a level of confidence (very low, low, medium, high and very high )


low confidence

Each finding is grounded in an evaluation of underlying evidence and agreement. The IPCC calibrated language uses five qualifiers to express a level of confidence (very low, low, medium, high and very high )


very high confidence

Each finding is grounded in an evaluation of underlying evidence and agreement. The IPCC calibrated language uses five qualifiers to express a level of confidence (very low, low, medium, high and very high )


virtually certain

99–100% probability (Indicates the assessed likelihood of an outcome or a result)


very likely

90–100% probability (Indicates the assessed likelihood of an outcome or a result)


likely

66–100% probability (Indicates the assessed likelihood of an outcome or a result)


more likely than not

>50–100% probability (Indicates the assessed likelihood of an outcome or a result)


about as likely as not

33–66% probability (Indicates the assessed likelihood of an outcome or a result)


unlikely

0–33% probability (Indicates the assessed likelihood of an outcome or a result)


very unlikely

0–10% probability (Indicates the assessed likelihood of an outcome or a result)


exceptionally unlikely

0–1% probability (Indicates the assessed likelihood of an outcome or a result)


extremely likely

95–100% probability (Indicates the assessed likelihood of an outcome or a result)


extremely unlikely

0–5% probability (Indicates the assessed likelihood of an outcome or a result)


medium confidence

Each finding is grounded in an evaluation of underlying evidence and agreement. The IPCC calibrated language uses five qualifiers to express a level of confidence (very low, low, medium, high and very high )


high confidence

Each finding is grounded in an evaluation of underlying evidence and agreement. The IPCC calibrated language uses five qualifiers to express a level of confidence (very low, low, medium, high and very high )